Betting the 2026 F1 Constructors’: Favourites and a Big Long Shot
Image credit: Getty Images / Red Bull Content Pool
It is only a matter of days before a new era of Formula One begins. The drivers will hit the track on January 26 in the first shakedown of 2026. We enter this season not knowing what to expect. Many teams will be looking to make a huge jump up the grid. New regulations could reshape the landscape, creating fresh opportunities in the constructors’ betting market. The balance of power may be closer than ever.
Are Mercedes the frontrunners?
If all the rumours are to be believed, Mercedes should return to the front in 2026. Reports suggest that the German manufacturer has an advantage over their rivals. Of course, the team has a stellar track record, winning an abundance of titles in the past; it’s safe to say they know how to go racing. Furthermore, they have the drivers to consistently fight at the front.
George Russell has been consistently one of the best drivers on the grid over recent years. Looking at his track record and pedigree from the junior categories, he has what it takes to fight for the title. Kimi Antonelli had an interesting rookie year, where mistakes were made, but there were a lot of highs, especially towards the back end of the season. If given the right car, the drivers can get results. Last time the engine regulations changed, Mercedes were on top, so why can’t they do it again? Coming in at 13/8 odds, the Silver Arrows look like the best bet.
Value can be found on Red Bull
Season after season, Red Bull has made a habit of living near the sharp end of the grid. That consistency alone hints that 2026 will once again see them firmly in the fight. In 2025, we didn’t see Red Bull at their most dominant, but Max Verstappen still fought for the title. Like Mercedes, Red Bull may have found an engine advantage. There is no doubt they have a driver capable of winning the title.
Verstappen was the best driver on the grid last season; he was so close to winning his fifth title. The questions are never about the Dutch driver’s ability to get results; the focus will be on the second seat. Somewhat of a cursed seat, the Red Bull has proved to be a difficult car to drive. Isack Hadjar will be aiming for a fantastic season after a strong rookie campaign, and his results last season make you think the Frenchman can fight at the front of the grid. Looking at past results, they know how to win titles, meaning you can find value at 8/1 odds.
A big long shot on Williams
The Williams rebuild looks to be on track, and 2025 was their best season for a long time. Listening to team principal James Vowles, the focus has always been on 2026. Having the Mercedes power unit in the back of the car should give the team a lot of confidence. On the drivers’ side, they definitely have the talent.
Carlos Sainz and Alex Albon have both proved to be reliable and capable Grand Prix drivers. Both have experience at top teams. Over recent seasons, if a result has been on the table, Sainz and Albon have delivered it. It may be well ahead of schedule, but at 20/1 odds, they could be worth a long shot.
A new beginning, full of uncertainty and promise. Soon enough, answers will emerge on track.
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